This morning I opened my browser to see the headline “2009 Femtocell Shipment Numbers Cut by 55%” from ABI Research. If the purpose of a headline is to get you to read the article, this one worked. ABI is one of the market research firms that most closely follow the femtocell market.
A careful look at ABI’s full forecast shows that this dramatic change is only for 2009 – the current year. An alert reader points out that ABI’s long-term femtocell forecast has changed very little. Here is a picture of their 7-year forecast, ending in 2014.
The gray columns represent the previous forecast, while the blue ones show the most recent forecast just reported. 2009 volumes were reduced 55% from 790,000 to 350,000. But 2009 volumes are inconsequential in terms of the overall projected market. The 2014 projection is down to “just” 40 million units (from 46 million previously), still a very healthy market.
This post also appears in the Airvana Blog.

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